The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation has projected that cumulative COVID-19 deaths may surpass one million by August 2021.
The IHME said: "Without drastic measures to bolster the health system to deal with this onslaught, decrease social mixing, and increase effective face mask use, the situation currently looks quite grim for India. IHME’s reference scenario forecasts 1,496,000 COVID-19 deaths in India by September 1, 2021."
The report outlines that daily COVID-19 cases are about four times what they were in the previous week and daily COVID-19 deaths are three times what they were in the previous peak in September 2020. The report also warns that unless the health services are transformed, the grim situation in India will continue. However, the figures estimated are a worst-case scenario.
The Lancet has reported on this particular forecast in an editorial, stating that "If that outcome were to happen, Modi's Government would be responsible for presiding over a self-inflicted national catastrophe. India squandered its early successes in controlling COVID-19. Until April, the government's COVID-19 taskforce had not met in months."
The COVID-19 pandemic has given rise to a lot of potentially dangerous misinformation. For reliable advice on COVID-19 including symptoms, prevention and available treatment, please refer to the World Health Organisation or your national healthcare authority.