<img src="https://trc.taboola.com/1321591/log/3/unip?en=page_view" width="0" height="0" style="display:none">
Fact Check Library

Fact Check with Logically.

Download the Free App Today

true
true

CLAIM ID

4b4af08b

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation estimates that India will see one million deaths from COVID-19 by August 1, 2021.

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation has projected that cumulative COVID-19 deaths may surpass one million by August 2021.

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation has projected that cumulative COVID-19 deaths may surpass one million by August 2021.The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) — an independent global health research center at the University of Washington — has predicted that the total deaths from COVID-19 in India could surpass one million by August 2021.

The IHME said: "Without drastic measures to bolster the health system to deal with this onslaught, decrease social mixing, and increase effective face mask use, the situation currently looks quite grim for India. IHME’s reference scenario forecasts 1,496,000 COVID-19 deaths in India by September 1, 2021."

The report outlines that daily COVID-19 cases are about four times what they were in the previous week and daily COVID-19 deaths are three times what they were in the previous peak in September 2020. The report also warns that unless the health services are transformed, the grim situation in India will continue. However, the figures estimated are a worst-case scenario.

The Lancet has reported on this particular forecast in an editorial, stating that "If that outcome were to happen, Modi's Government would be responsible for presiding over a self-inflicted national catastrophe. India squandered its early successes in controlling COVID-19. Until April, the government's COVID-19 taskforce had not met in months."

The COVID-19 pandemic has given rise to a lot of potentially dangerous misinformation. For reliable advice on COVID-19 including symptoms, prevention and available treatment, please refer to the World Health Organisation or your national healthcare authority.

Have a question or correction on one of our fact-checks?

If you think a claim has been misjudged or requires correction, please send us evidence to support your error claim. We will revisit our evidence and verdict and conduct additional research to verify new information.

Fact Check of the Day

misleading

397 children were diagnosed with heart inflammation after receiving Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine in U.S.