Only opinion polls are predicting which party is in the lead to win the 2021 Kerala election. The election is yet to happen.
According to the C-Voter Poll Survey, the CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) is projected to get a 42.9% vote share, which is 0.6% less than its vote share (43.5%) in the 2016 Assembly election. The United Democratic Front (UDF) vote share is likely to decrease by 1.2%, from 38.8% in 2016 to 37.6% in 2021. For the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), the vote share is projected to decrease by 0.5%, from 14.9% to 14.4%.
LDF led by Pinarayi Vijayan is expected to return to power in Kerala. In the 140 member assembly, the LDF is expected to win 77 to 85 seats, while the Congress-led UDF may be restricted to 54 to 62 seats. The poll also said that BJP would not make an impact and may win 0 to 2 seats.